Two-stage DCF intrinsic value + sensitivity

Two-stage discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value per share for a U.S. filer, derived entirely from SEC EDGAR XBRL fundamentals. Free cash flow is computed per fiscal year as operating cash flow minus the absolute capital expenditure, outer-joined by period; the base FCF is the most recent valid year (override-able). Stage 1 projects stage1_years of explicit FCF at stage1_growth (defaulting to the historical FCF CAGR, clamped to [-20%, +50%]); the terminal value uses the Gordon growth model. Enterprise value is bridged to equity by net debt and divided by shares outstanding. A 25-cell (5x5) sensitivity table varies the discount rate (+-150bp/75bp) and stage-1 growth (+-4pp/2pp). The result is an assumption-sensitive MODEL ESTIMATE, not investment advice (see disclaimer). For financial-company SIC codes (banks / insurers / brokers) the value is still computed but flagged dcf_applicable=false with a warning. A missing price degrades margin_of_safety to null without affecting the valuation. Source is sec_edgar_xbrl.

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Bodyapplication/json

Example

{
    "data": {
        "symbol": "AAPL",
        "assumptions": {
            "discount_rate": 0.09,
            "terminal_growth": 0.025,
            "stage1_years": 5,
            "stage1_growth": 0,
            "growth_source": "historical_cagr",
            "base_fcf_override_used": false
        },
        "inputs": {
            "base_fcf": 0,
            "base_fcf_source": "latest_fiscal_year",
            "base_fcf_year": "string",
            "fcf_3y_median": 0,
            "fcf_history": [
                {
                    "end": "2024-09-28",
                    "operating_cash_flow": 0,
                    "capex": 0,
                    "fcf": 0
                }
            ],
            "shares_outstanding": 0,
            "shares_source": "string",
            "total_debt": 0,
            "debt_source": "string",
            "cash": 0,
            "net_debt": 0,
            "net_debt_partial": false,
            "current_price": 0,
            "as_of": "string"
        },
        "outputs": {
            "enterprise_value": 0,
            "equity_value": 0,
            "intrinsic_value_per_share": 0,
            "margin_of_safety": 0,
            "dcf_applicable": true,
            "warning": "string"
        },
        "stage1_projections": [
            {
                "year": 1,
                "fcf": 0,
                "present_value": 0
            }
        ],
        "sensitivity": [
            {
                "discount_rate": 0.0825,
                "stage1_growth": 0.06,
                "intrinsic_per_share": 0
            }
        ],
        "disclaimer": "This is a model-derived discounted-cash-flow estimate...",
        "source": "sec_edgar_xbrl"
    },
    "meta": {
        "endpoint": "/api/v1/fred/us/cpi",
        "data_time": "2026-04-16T14:30:00Z",
        "response_time": "2026-04-16T14:30:12Z",
        "provider": "Sugra API v1.0.1",
        "source": "string",
        "attribution": "string",
        "fallback_used": true,
        "fallback_chain": [
            "string"
        ],
        "cached": true,
        "stale": true
    }
}

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